2024 will be an enormous year for elections and political news. Policymaking will play a part, but there is a risk it could be overshadowed by personalities and party dramas.
This would be a shame, as there are good reasons to believe that the major challenges the UK is facing can be addressed if the thinking and will to act are there.
Here are ten areas I would love to see prioritised in the UK policy space in 2024. 1. Health Investment Is Finally Addressed Rather than resigning themselves to an endless series of NHS winter crises and short-term funding challenges, policymakers can address the long-term cost of ill health and invest in a strategy to promote wellness rather than solely treating sickness.
This will not only mean a push on diet, exercise and alcohol, but also a radical embrace of adult vaccination, all justified by a new appreciation of the value of a healthier population to the economy and the nation.
There are undeniable issues to fix in traditional health provision, but it’s high time the UK took public health seriously as a national strategic asset. 2. Disruption Comes to Higher Education The value of higher education is enormous, but the existing system is not built to sustain the education of an ever-larger proportion of the population to degree level.
Serious conversations should start about unbundling the university experience, harnessing technology and reacting to demand by making courses shorter and more intense, or longer and more flexible.
The way institutions are funded should be part of this conversation, but a debate over how and when we pay for more of the same sort of education risks missing the point: the mix of what is on offer needs to change as well. 3. Social Media Is Discussed as a Public-Health Issue With the Online Safety Act now in place, policymakers might wait to see the effects of the new regulatory structure before planning next moves.
But the popular perception that social media is driving mental-health problems, and the growing understanding of the potential economic and social cost of this, mean policy attention around social media should switch from “how do we limit harm” to “how do we address its overall impact”.
This should go beyond a narrow focus on children and lead to a more general discussion about the effects of platforms’ design and policy choices.
This area is in urgent need of better data, but it would be a mistake to wait for elusive definitive proof before considering the issues. 4. Net-Zero Targets Get Real There are already signs of a net-zero backlash. Voters who feel the pinch as climate targets become real will find more outlets next year to protest against what they see as arbitrary timelines and unfair distribution of costs.
Policymakers with few easy options will be tempted to redefine targets, let them slip or abandon them altogether. But postponing action won’t solve the problem; instead, the path to full implementation of net zero should be defined.
Realism on genuinely achievable plans will be increasingly important; countries that can take the big decisions necessary to actually get there will be much better positioned than those with just a deadline, however eye-catching. 5. Policymakers Maintain Momentum on Artificial Intelligence (AI), Even If Public Interest Dips Six months or a year on from the AI Safety Summit at Bletchley Park, it’s reasonable to expect that some commentators will complain that some predictions about the technology have not come true and that the rhetoric has been overblown.
But over the longer term we are likely to understand that this apparent lull was simply our experience of the early stages of the technology’s exponential upward curve. Big changes are coming, even if they are not evident right now, so policymakers should keep up their work on AI’s deployment and regulation. |